Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/8-10, likely voters, 10/22/2007 in parens):
Tom Allen (D): 38 (33)
Susan Collins (R-inc): 57 (56)
(MoE: ±4%)
Un-sexy. How about North Carolina?
Research 2000 (9/8-10, likely voters, 7/28-30):
Kay Hagan (D): 42 (42)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 48 (50)
(MoE: ±4%)
The same poll also finds Pat McCrory up by 5 points in the state’s gubernatorial race, and John McCain crushing Barack Obama by 55-38. Those numbers fit like peas in a pod with a recent funky SUSA poll, but jive pretty sharply with recent surveys by homeboys Public Policy Polling and Civitas — both firms show McCain with a very small lead over Obama, and PPP still has Hagan edging Dole by a single point. Civitas should be releasing a Senate race poll very shortly.
Additionally, a recent Garin-Hart-Yang poll gave Dole a two-point lead (and McCain a three-point edge).
Pick your poison, I suppose. But I’m a little more inclined to believe the home-state pollsters (PPP and Civitas) over R2K and SUSA.
UPDATE: PPP dismisses R2K’s poll as gibberish.
I never got to ask him why he thought so, but I sure am curious, because he’s been a credible voice on other subjects before.